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The Battleground

17 districts.
10 states.
Across the ballot.

Coalition programs are live in every district on this map. In these districts, Latino citizens of voting age frequently outnumber the previous margin of victory many times over.

In Colorado's 8th, the 2024 race was decided by a few thousand votes in a district where roughly 31 percent of the citizen voting-age population is Latino. Modest improvements in registration, turnout and persuasion can change individual races, and potentially control of the House. The constraint is not demographics. It is investment and engagement.

Ten program states · Seventeen districts

Click a highlighted state to compare the candidates in its Tier 1 race.

Flag of Arizona

Arizona

AZ-06 · AZ-01

Flag of California

California

CA-22 · CA-48

Flag of Colorado

Colorado

CO-08

Flag of Florida

Florida

FL-09 · FL-27

Flag of Nebraska

Nebraska

NE-02

Flag of New Jersey

New Jersey

NJ-07

Flag of New Mexico

New Mexico

NM-02

Flag of New York

New York

NY-17

Flag of Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania

PA-07 · PA-08 · PA-10

Flag of Texas

Texas

TX-15 · TX-34 · TX-35

Tier 1 · Flip targets

Certified 2024 House results. Latino share of citizen voting-age population from UnidosUS analysis of U.S. Census data.

DistrictIncumbent2024 marginLatino CVAP CO-08Evans (R)2,449 (0.7 pts)31% PA-07Mackenzie (R)4,062 (1.0 pt)16% NE-02Bacon (R), retiring5,829 (1.8 pts)7% AZ-06Ciscomani (R)10,800 (2.5 pts)22% CA-22Valadao (R)11,339 (6.8 pts)65% TX-15De La Cruz (R)31,800 (14.2 pts)74%

Who's on your ballot

Candidate lookup

Pick a district or click a highlighted state on the map. Major-party nominees only; information current as of September 19, 2026.

Tier 1 · Flip targets

Protect

Additional investment

TX-35

StateTexas

South, east and northeast Bexar County plus Guadalupe, Wilson and Karnes counties. Redrawn in 2025. Open seat: Rep. Greg Casar is running in TX-37.

Republican

Carlos De La Cruz

Open seat · won the May 26 Republican runoff with about 58%

Background

A retired Air Force veteran with 20 years of service, including a Middle East deployment and time at Lackland Air Force Base, who later ran a small business in San Antonio. He is a first-time candidate and the brother of Rep. Monica De La Cruz. He campaigns on border security, the economy and the military.

Endorsements

  • President Donald Trump
  • House Republican leadership
VS

Democrat

Johnny Garcia

Open seat · won the May 26 Democratic runoff with about 59%

Background

A native of San Antonio’s West Side who worked construction while attending St. Philip’s College and joined the Bexar County Sheriff’s Office at 21. Over nearly two decades he served as a deputy, SWAT hostage negotiator and the department’s public information officer. He calls himself an old-school Democrat and campaigns on affordability and health care.

Endorsements

  • CHC BOLD PAC
  • Blue Dog PAC
  • The Bench
  • J Street PAC
  • Fmr. Bexar County Judge Nelson Wolff
  • DCCC Red to Blue program

Sources: Candidate research current as of September 19, 2026; carlosforcongress.com; votejohnnygarcia.com.

Tier 1 · Flip

AZ-06 · CA-22 · CO-08 · NE-02 · PA-07 · TX-15

Protect

FL-09 · NM-02 · TX-34

Additional investment

AZ-01 · CA-48 · FL-27 · NJ-07 · NY-17 · PA-08 · PA-10 · TX-35

U.S. Senate and state legislative races are incorporated where they overlap.