Español

The Battleground

17 districts.
10 states.
Across the ballot.

Coalition programs are live in every district on this map. In these districts, Latino citizens of voting age frequently outnumber the previous margin of victory many times over.

In Colorado's 8th, the 2024 race was decided by a few thousand votes in a district where roughly 31 percent of the citizen voting-age population is Latino. Modest improvements in registration, turnout and persuasion can change individual races, and potentially control of the House. The constraint is not demographics. It is investment and engagement.

Ten program states · Seventeen districts

Click a highlighted state to compare the candidates in its Tier 1 race.

Flag of Arizona

Arizona

AZ-06 · AZ-01

Flag of California

California

CA-22 · CA-48

Flag of Colorado

Colorado

CO-08

Flag of Florida

Florida

FL-09 · FL-27

Flag of Nebraska

Nebraska

NE-02

Flag of New Jersey

New Jersey

NJ-07

Flag of New Mexico

New Mexico

NM-02

Flag of New York

New York

NY-17

Flag of Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania

PA-07 · PA-08 · PA-10

Flag of Texas

Texas

TX-15 · TX-34 · TX-35

Tier 1 · Flip targets

Certified 2024 House results. Latino share of citizen voting-age population from UnidosUS analysis of U.S. Census data.

DistrictIncumbent2024 marginLatino CVAP CO-08Evans (R)2,449 (0.7 pts)31% PA-07Mackenzie (R)4,062 (1.0 pt)16% NE-02Bacon (R), retiring5,829 (1.8 pts)7% AZ-06Ciscomani (R)10,800 (2.5 pts)22% CA-22Valadao (R)11,339 (6.8 pts)65% TX-15De La Cruz (R)31,800 (14.2 pts)74%

Who's on your ballot

Candidate lookup

Pick a district or click a highlighted state on the map. Major-party nominees only; information current as of September 19, 2026.

Tier 1 · Flip targets

Protect

Additional investment

CA-48

StateCalifornia

Parts of San Diego and Riverside counties, including Vista, San Marcos, Temecula and Palm Springs. Redrawn under Prop. 50. Open seat: Rep. Darrell Issa is retiring.

Republican

Jim Desmond

Open seat · finished first in the June 2 top-two primary with about 41%

Background

A San Diego County supervisor since 2019 and former 12-year mayor of San Marcos. He is a Navy veteran, flew for Delta Air Lines for 33 years and holds an engineering degree from San Diego State. He campaigns on affordability, lower taxes, public safety and treatment-first answers to homelessness.

Endorsements

  • President Donald Trump
  • Rep. Darrell Issa
  • NRCC MAGA Majority program
VS

Democrat

Marni von Wilpert

Open seat · advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with about 20%

Background

A San Diego City Council member since 2020 who chairs its Public Safety Committee. A Scripps Ranch native, she served in the Peace Corps in Botswana, worked as a labor attorney at the National Labor Relations Board and as counsel to the House Education and Labor Committee, and later as a deputy city attorney. She campaigns on housing, the cost of living and health care.

Endorsements

  • Reps. Sara Jacobs, Mike Levin, Scott Peters and Juan Vargas
  • Equality California
  • J Street PAC
  • DCCC Red to Blue program

Sources: Candidate research current as of September 19, 2026; desmondforcongress.com; marnivonwilpert.com.

Tier 1 · Flip

AZ-06 · CA-22 · CO-08 · NE-02 · PA-07 · TX-15

Protect

FL-09 · NM-02 · TX-34

Additional investment

AZ-01 · CA-48 · FL-27 · NJ-07 · NY-17 · PA-08 · PA-10 · TX-35

U.S. Senate and state legislative races are incorporated where they overlap.