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The Battleground

17 districts.
10 states.
Across the ballot.

Coalition programs are live in every district on this map. In these districts, Latino citizens of voting age frequently outnumber the previous margin of victory many times over.

In Colorado's 8th, the 2024 race was decided by a few thousand votes in a district where roughly 31 percent of the citizen voting-age population is Latino. Modest improvements in registration, turnout and persuasion can change individual races, and potentially control of the House. The constraint is not demographics. It is investment and engagement.

Ten program states · Seventeen districts

Click a highlighted state to compare the candidates in its Tier 1 race.

Flag of Arizona

Arizona

AZ-06 · AZ-01

Flag of California

California

CA-22 · CA-48

Flag of Colorado

Colorado

CO-08

Flag of Florida

Florida

FL-09 · FL-27

Flag of Nebraska

Nebraska

NE-02

Flag of New Jersey

New Jersey

NJ-07

Flag of New Mexico

New Mexico

NM-02

Flag of New York

New York

NY-17

Flag of Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania

PA-07 · PA-08 · PA-10

Flag of Texas

Texas

TX-15 · TX-34 · TX-35

Tier 1 · Flip targets

Certified 2024 House results. Latino share of citizen voting-age population from UnidosUS analysis of U.S. Census data.

DistrictIncumbent2024 marginLatino CVAP CO-08Evans (R)2,449 (0.7 pts)31% PA-07Mackenzie (R)4,062 (1.0 pt)16% NE-02Bacon (R), retiring5,829 (1.8 pts)7% AZ-06Ciscomani (R)10,800 (2.5 pts)22% CA-22Valadao (R)11,339 (6.8 pts)65% TX-15De La Cruz (R)31,800 (14.2 pts)74%

Who's on your ballot

Candidate lookup

Pick a district or click a highlighted state on the map. Major-party nominees only; information current as of September 19, 2026.

Tier 1 · Flip targets

Protect

Additional investment

AZ-01

StateArizona

Scottsdale, Paradise Valley, Fountain Hills, Cave Creek and north Phoenix. Open seat: Rep. David Schweikert ran for governor.

Republican

Jay Feely

Open seat · won the July 21 Republican primary

Background

A former NFL kicker who played 14 seasons, four of them with the Arizona Cardinals, and then spent a decade as a CBS Sports analyst. He served on the NFL Players Association executive committee and founded the Feely Family Foundation. A first-time candidate, he campaigns on border security, lower costs and public safety.

Endorsements

  • President Donald Trump
  • National Republican Congressional Committee
  • Rep. Jim Jordan
VS

Democrat

Amish Shah

Open seat · won the July 21 Democratic primary with about 40%, 2024 nominee

Background

An emergency room physician and former state representative who served in the Arizona House from 2019 to 2024. He holds degrees from Northwestern and UC Berkeley and once worked as a team physician for the New York Jets. He personally knocked on more than 28,000 doors and was named 2022 Women’s Health Champion for leading the effort to protect abortion access. He campaigns on health care, lower costs and abortion rights.

Endorsements

  • Human Rights Campaign PAC
  • Combined Law Enforcement Associations of Arizona
  • End Citizens United
  • Reproductive Freedom for All

Sources: Candidate research current as of September 19, 2026; jayfeelyforcongress.com; amishforarizona.com.

Tier 1 · Flip

AZ-06 · CA-22 · CO-08 · NE-02 · PA-07 · TX-15

Protect

FL-09 · NM-02 · TX-34

Additional investment

AZ-01 · CA-48 · FL-27 · NJ-07 · NY-17 · PA-08 · PA-10 · TX-35

U.S. Senate and state legislative races are incorporated where they overlap.