The Battleground

17 districts.
10 states.
Across the ballot.

Coalition programs are live in every district on this map. In these districts, Latino citizens of voting age frequently outnumber the previous margin of victory many times over.

In Colorado's 8th, the 2024 race was decided by a few thousand votes in a district where roughly 31 percent of the citizen voting-age population is Latino. Modest improvements in registration, turnout and persuasion can change individual races, and potentially control of the House. The constraint is not demographics. It is investment and engagement.

Ten program states · Seventeen districts

Click a highlighted state to compare the candidates in its Tier 1 race.

Arizona

AZ-06 · AZ-01

California

CA-22 · CA-48

Colorado

CO-08

Florida

FL-09 · FL-27

Nebraska

NE-02

New Jersey

NJ-07

New Mexico

NM-02

New York

NY-17

Pennsylvania

PA-07 · PA-08 · PA-10

Texas

TX-15 · TX-34 · TX-35

Tier 1 · Flip targets

Certified 2024 House results. Latino share of citizen voting-age population from UnidosUS analysis of U.S. Census data.

DistrictIncumbent2024 marginLatino CVAP CO-08Evans (R)2,449 (0.7 pts)31% PA-07Mackenzie (R)4,062 (1.0 pt)16% NE-02Bacon (R), retiring5,829 (1.8 pts)7% AZ-06Ciscomani (R)10,800 (2.5 pts)22% CA-22Valadao (R)11,339 (6.8 pts)65% TX-15De La Cruz (R)31,800 (14.2 pts)74%

Who's on your ballot

Candidate lookup

Pick a district or click a highlighted state on the map. Major-party nominees only; information current as of September 19, 2026.

Tier 1 · Flip targets

CO-08 PA-07 AZ-06 CA-22 TX-15 NE-02

Protect

FL-09 NM-02 TX-34

Additional investment

AZ-01 CA-48 FL-27 NJ-07 NY-17 PA-08 PA-10 TX-35

AZ-06

StateArizona2024 marginR +2.5 — 10,800 votesLatino CVAP22% Latino

Jereme Peters (Libertarian) is also on the November ballot.

Republican

Juan Ciscomani

Incumbent · first elected 2022

Background

Born in Hermosillo, Sonora, Mexico. Rincon High School in Tucson, Pima Community College, University of Arizona. Vice president of outreach for the Tucson Hispanic Chamber of Commerce, senior advisor to Gov. Doug Ducey, vice chair of the Arizona-Mexico Commission. Delivered the Spanish-language Republican response to the 2023 State of the Union.

Endorsements

Not confirmed in this research pass. Request the current list from the campaign.

Democrat

JoAnna Mendoza

Challenger · Navy and Marine Corps veteran

Background

Twenty-year Navy and Marine Corps veteran and former drill instructor who grew up in a farmworker family in Pinal County. Former staffer for Rep. Tom O’Halleran, policy analyst and nonprofit leader.

Endorsements

CHC BOLD PAC, the political arm of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus
DCCC “Red to Blue”

Sources: Ballotpedia News, Aug. 3, 2026; AZPM; CHC BOLD PAC; Cook Political Report.

Tier 1 · Flip

AZ-06 · CA-22 · CO-08 · NE-02 · PA-07 · TX-15

Protect

FL-09 · NM-02 · TX-34

Additional investment

AZ-01 · CA-48 · FL-27 · NJ-07 · NY-17 · PA-08 · PA-10 · TX-35

U.S. Senate and state legislative races are incorporated where they overlap.

17 districts.10 states.Across the ballot.

Tier 1 · Flip targets

Candidate lookup

Juan Ciscomani

JoAnna Mendoza

17 districts.
10 states.
Across the ballot.