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The Battleground

17 districts.
10 states.
Across the ballot.

Coalition programs are live in every district on this map. In these districts, Latino citizens of voting age frequently outnumber the previous margin of victory many times over.

In Colorado's 8th, the 2024 race was decided by a few thousand votes in a district where roughly 31 percent of the citizen voting-age population is Latino. Modest improvements in registration, turnout and persuasion can change individual races, and potentially control of the House. The constraint is not demographics. It is investment and engagement.

Ten program states · Seventeen districts

Click a highlighted state to compare the candidates in its Tier 1 race.

Flag of Arizona

Arizona

AZ-06 · AZ-01

Flag of California

California

CA-22 · CA-48

Flag of Colorado

Colorado

CO-08

Flag of Florida

Florida

FL-09 · FL-27

Flag of Nebraska

Nebraska

NE-02

Flag of New Jersey

New Jersey

NJ-07

Flag of New Mexico

New Mexico

NM-02

Flag of New York

New York

NY-17

Flag of Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania

PA-07 · PA-08 · PA-10

Flag of Texas

Texas

TX-15 · TX-34 · TX-35

Tier 1 · Flip targets

Certified 2024 House results. Latino share of citizen voting-age population from UnidosUS analysis of U.S. Census data.

DistrictIncumbent2024 marginLatino CVAP CO-08Evans (R)2,449 (0.7 pts)31% PA-07Mackenzie (R)4,062 (1.0 pt)16% NE-02Bacon (R), retiring5,829 (1.8 pts)7% AZ-06Ciscomani (R)10,800 (2.5 pts)22% CA-22Valadao (R)11,339 (6.8 pts)65% TX-15De La Cruz (R)31,800 (14.2 pts)74%

Who's on your ballot

Candidate lookup

Pick a district or click a highlighted state on the map. Major-party nominees only; information current as of September 19, 2026.

Tier 1 · Flip targets

CO-08PA-07AZ-06CA-22TX-15NE-02

Protect

FL-09NM-02TX-34

Additional investment

AZ-01CA-48FL-27NJ-07NY-17PA-08PA-10TX-35

CA-22

StateCalifornia2024 marginR +6.8 — 11,339 votesLatino CVAP65% Latino

Redistricting redrew CA-22 for 2026. One analysis puts the new district at 73% Latino.

Republican

David Valadao

Incumbent · first elected 2012

Background

Lost re-election to TJ Cox in 2018 and won the seat back in 2020. One of only two remaining House Republicans who voted to impeach Donald Trump after January 6. Took 40.7% in the June 2 top-two primary.

Endorsements

  • Not confirmed in this research pass. Request the current list from the campaign.
VS

Democrat

Randy Villegas

Challenger · professor and school board trustee

Background

Political science professor at College of the Sequoias and Visalia Unified school board trustee since 2021. Beat Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains in the top-two primary while taking no corporate PAC money.

Endorsements

  • Bernie Sanders
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  • California Working Families Party

Sources: Ballotpedia News, June 12 and July 18, 2026; CalMatters; GV Wire; Cook Political Report.

Tier 1 · Flip

AZ-06 · CA-22 · CO-08 · NE-02 · PA-07 · TX-15

Protect

FL-09 · NM-02 · TX-34

Additional investment

AZ-01 · CA-48 · FL-27 · NJ-07 · NY-17 · PA-08 · PA-10 · TX-35

U.S. Senate and state legislative races are incorporated where they overlap.