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The Battleground

17 districts.
10 states.
Across the ballot.

Coalition programs are live in every district on this map. In these districts, Latino citizens of voting age frequently outnumber the previous margin of victory many times over.

In Colorado's 8th, the 2024 race was decided by a few thousand votes in a district where roughly 31 percent of the citizen voting-age population is Latino. Modest improvements in registration, turnout and persuasion can change individual races, and potentially control of the House. The constraint is not demographics. It is investment and engagement.

Ten program states · Seventeen districts

Click a highlighted state to compare the candidates in its Tier 1 race.

Flag of Arizona

Arizona

AZ-06 · AZ-01

Flag of California

California

CA-22 · CA-48

Flag of Colorado

Colorado

CO-08

Flag of Florida

Florida

FL-09 · FL-27

Flag of Nebraska

Nebraska

NE-02

Flag of New Jersey

New Jersey

NJ-07

Flag of New Mexico

New Mexico

NM-02

Flag of New York

New York

NY-17

Flag of Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania

PA-07 · PA-08 · PA-10

Flag of Texas

Texas

TX-15 · TX-34 · TX-35

Tier 1 · Flip targets

Certified 2024 House results. Latino share of citizen voting-age population from UnidosUS analysis of U.S. Census data.

DistrictIncumbent2024 marginLatino CVAP CO-08Evans (R)2,449 (0.7 pts)31% PA-07Mackenzie (R)4,062 (1.0 pt)16% NE-02Bacon (R), retiring5,829 (1.8 pts)7% AZ-06Ciscomani (R)10,800 (2.5 pts)22% CA-22Valadao (R)11,339 (6.8 pts)65% TX-15De La Cruz (R)31,800 (14.2 pts)74%

Who's on your ballot

Candidate lookup

Pick a district or click a highlighted state on the map. Major-party nominees only; information current as of September 19, 2026.

Tier 1 · Flip targets

CO-08PA-07AZ-06CA-22TX-15NE-02

Protect

FL-09NM-02TX-34

Additional investment

AZ-01CA-48FL-27NJ-07NY-17PA-08PA-10TX-35

NM-02

StateNew Mexico

Southern New Mexico, including Las Cruces, and Albuquerque’s Westside.

Republican

Greg Cunningham

Challenger · won the June 2 Republican primary with about 84%

Background

An Albuquerque native, Marine Corps combat veteran and retired Albuquerque police detective who also owns a small business. He ran twice for the state Legislature before this race and has made public safety, border security and energy production the center of his campaign.

Endorsements

  • President Donald Trump
  • Fmr. Rep. Yvette Herrell
  • Jose Orozco, former primary opponent
  • National Republican Congressional Committee
VS

Democrat

Gabe Vasquez

Incumbent · first elected 2022, unopposed in the June 2 Democratic primary

Background

A Las Cruces resident who worked as a journalist, led the Hispano Chamber of Commerce de Las Cruces and served as a field representative for Sen. Martin Heinrich before running for Congress. He sits on the Agriculture and Armed Services committees and campaigns on the cost of living, Medicaid, public lands and funding for local law enforcement.

Endorsements

  • AFSCME Council 18
  • AFT New Mexico
  • IBEW Local 611
  • SMART Local 49
  • Brady PAC, Giffords PAC and Moms Demand Action
  • Firefighter and TSA officer unions in New Mexico

Sources: Candidate research current as of September 19, 2026; cunninghamfornm.com; gabeforcongress.com.

Tier 1 · Flip

AZ-06 · CA-22 · CO-08 · NE-02 · PA-07 · TX-15

Protect

FL-09 · NM-02 · TX-34

Additional investment

AZ-01 · CA-48 · FL-27 · NJ-07 · NY-17 · PA-08 · PA-10 · TX-35

U.S. Senate and state legislative races are incorporated where they overlap.