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The Battleground

17 districts.
10 states.
Across the ballot.

Coalition programs are live in every district on this map. In these districts, Latino citizens of voting age frequently outnumber the previous margin of victory many times over.

In Colorado's 8th, the 2024 race was decided by a few thousand votes in a district where roughly 31 percent of the citizen voting-age population is Latino. Modest improvements in registration, turnout and persuasion can change individual races, and potentially control of the House. The constraint is not demographics. It is investment and engagement.

Ten program states · Seventeen districts

Click a highlighted state to compare the candidates in its Tier 1 race.

Flag of Arizona

Arizona

AZ-06 · AZ-01

Flag of California

California

CA-22 · CA-48

Flag of Colorado

Colorado

CO-08

Flag of Florida

Florida

FL-09 · FL-27

Flag of Nebraska

Nebraska

NE-02

Flag of New Jersey

New Jersey

NJ-07

Flag of New Mexico

New Mexico

NM-02

Flag of New York

New York

NY-17

Flag of Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania

PA-07 · PA-08 · PA-10

Flag of Texas

Texas

TX-15 · TX-34 · TX-35

Tier 1 · Flip targets

Certified 2024 House results. Latino share of citizen voting-age population from UnidosUS analysis of U.S. Census data.

DistrictIncumbent2024 marginLatino CVAP CO-08Evans (R)2,449 (0.7 pts)31% PA-07Mackenzie (R)4,062 (1.0 pt)16% NE-02Bacon (R), retiring5,829 (1.8 pts)7% AZ-06Ciscomani (R)10,800 (2.5 pts)22% CA-22Valadao (R)11,339 (6.8 pts)65% TX-15De La Cruz (R)31,800 (14.2 pts)74%

Who's on your ballot

Candidate lookup

Pick a district or click a highlighted state on the map. Major-party nominees only; information current as of September 19, 2026.

Tier 1 · Flip targets

Protect

Additional investment

TX-15

StateTexas2024 marginR +14.2 — 31,800 votesLatino CVAP74% Latino

Texas adopted a new congressional map in 2025, changing TX-15’s boundaries for this election.

Republican

Monica De La Cruz

Incumbent · first elected 2022

Background

Brownsville native and insurance agent. James Pace Early College High School and the University of Texas at San Antonio. The first Latina and first Republican to represent Texas’ 15th district. Ran unopposed in the March 3 primary.

Endorsements

  • Donald Trump, in her 2022 run for the seat
VS

Democrat

Bobby Pulido

Challenger · Tejano musician

Background

Born and raised in Edinburg. Studied political science at St. Mary’s University before building an award-winning Tejano music career. A small business owner and father of four. Won the March 3 Democratic primary over physician Ada Cuellar with 68% of the vote. Campaigns on rising costs, health care and an immigration debate he says ignores the realities of border communities, under the line “He’s not Team Red. He’s not Team Blue. South Texas, he is Team You.”

Endorsements

  • Not confirmed in this research pass. Request the current list from the campaign.

Sources: Ballotpedia; KSAT; Cook Political Report; bobbypulidofortexas.com.

Tier 1 · Flip

AZ-06 · CA-22 · CO-08 · NE-02 · PA-07 · TX-15

Protect

FL-09 · NM-02 · TX-34

Additional investment

AZ-01 · CA-48 · FL-27 · NJ-07 · NY-17 · PA-08 · PA-10 · TX-35

U.S. Senate and state legislative races are incorporated where they overlap.