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The Battleground

17 districts.
10 states.
Across the ballot.

Coalition programs are live in every district on this map. In these districts, Latino citizens of voting age frequently outnumber the previous margin of victory many times over.

In Colorado's 8th, the 2024 race was decided by a few thousand votes in a district where roughly 31 percent of the citizen voting-age population is Latino. Modest improvements in registration, turnout and persuasion can change individual races, and potentially control of the House. The constraint is not demographics. It is investment and engagement.

Ten program states · Seventeen districts

Click a highlighted state to compare the candidates in its Tier 1 race.

Flag of Arizona

Arizona

AZ-06 · AZ-01

Flag of California

California

CA-22 · CA-48

Flag of Colorado

Colorado

CO-08

Flag of Florida

Florida

FL-09 · FL-27

Flag of Nebraska

Nebraska

NE-02

Flag of New Jersey

New Jersey

NJ-07

Flag of New Mexico

New Mexico

NM-02

Flag of New York

New York

NY-17

Flag of Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania

PA-07 · PA-08 · PA-10

Flag of Texas

Texas

TX-15 · TX-34 · TX-35

Tier 1 · Flip targets

Certified 2024 House results. Latino share of citizen voting-age population from UnidosUS analysis of U.S. Census data.

DistrictIncumbent2024 marginLatino CVAP CO-08Evans (R)2,449 (0.7 pts)31% PA-07Mackenzie (R)4,062 (1.0 pt)16% NE-02Bacon (R), retiring5,829 (1.8 pts)7% AZ-06Ciscomani (R)10,800 (2.5 pts)22% CA-22Valadao (R)11,339 (6.8 pts)65% TX-15De La Cruz (R)31,800 (14.2 pts)74%

Who's on your ballot

Candidate lookup

Pick a district or click a highlighted state on the map. Major-party nominees only; information current as of September 19, 2026.

Tier 1 · Flip targets

CO-08PA-07AZ-06CA-22TX-15NE-02

Protect

FL-09NM-02TX-34

Additional investment

AZ-01CA-48FL-27NJ-07NY-17PA-08PA-10TX-35

TX-34

StateTexas

The Rio Grande Valley north to Corpus Christi and the Coastal Bend. Redrawn in 2025.

Republican

Eric Flores

Challenger · won the March 3 Republican primary outright with about 57%

Background

An attorney from Mission, a Texas Army National Guard infantry captain and a former assistant U.S. attorney in McAllen who prosecuted cartel-linked and human smuggling cases. He previously served as a city attorney and municipal judge. He campaigns on border security, law enforcement, water supply and the South Texas economy.

Endorsements

  • President Donald Trump
  • Gov. Greg Abbott
  • House Speaker Mike Johnson
  • National Border Patrol Council
  • Scott Mandel, former primary opponent
VS

Democrat

Vicente Gonzalez

Incumbent · in Congress since 2017, won the March 3 Democratic primary with about 63%

Background

A Corpus Christi-born attorney living in McAllen who earned a GED and worked his way through Del Mar College, Embry-Riddle and Texas Wesleyan law school before opening a private practice. He co-chairs the moderate Blue Dog Coalition, belongs to the Congressional Hispanic Caucus and serves on the Financial Services Committee.

Endorsements

  • Not confirmed in this research pass. Request the current list from the campaign.

Sources: Candidate research current as of September 19, 2026; ericflores.com; vicentegonzalez.com.

Tier 1 · Flip

AZ-06 · CA-22 · CO-08 · NE-02 · PA-07 · TX-15

Protect

FL-09 · NM-02 · TX-34

Additional investment

AZ-01 · CA-48 · FL-27 · NJ-07 · NY-17 · PA-08 · PA-10 · TX-35

U.S. Senate and state legislative races are incorporated where they overlap.