The Battleground

17 districts.
10 states.
Across the ballot.

Coalition programs are live in every district on this map. In these districts, Latino citizens of voting age frequently outnumber the previous margin of victory many times over.

In Colorado's 8th, the 2024 race was decided by a few thousand votes in a district where roughly 31 percent of the citizen voting-age population is Latino. Modest improvements in registration, turnout and persuasion can change individual races, and potentially control of the House. The constraint is not demographics. It is investment and engagement.

Ten program states · Seventeen districts

Click a highlighted state to compare the candidates in its Tier 1 race.

Arizona

AZ-06 · AZ-01

California

CA-22 · CA-48

Colorado

CO-08

Florida

FL-09 · FL-27

Nebraska

NE-02

New Jersey

NJ-07

New Mexico

NM-02

New York

NY-17

Pennsylvania

PA-07 · PA-08 · PA-10

Texas

TX-15 · TX-34 · TX-35

Tier 1 · Flip targets

Certified 2024 House results. Latino share of citizen voting-age population from UnidosUS analysis of U.S. Census data.

DistrictIncumbent2024 marginLatino CVAP CO-08Evans (R)2,449 (0.7 pts)31% PA-07Mackenzie (R)4,062 (1.0 pt)16% NE-02Bacon (R), retiring5,829 (1.8 pts)7% AZ-06Ciscomani (R)10,800 (2.5 pts)22% CA-22Valadao (R)11,339 (6.8 pts)65% TX-15De La Cruz (R)31,800 (14.2 pts)74%

Who's on your ballot

Candidate lookup

Pick a district or click a highlighted state on the map. Major-party nominees only; information current as of September 19, 2026.

Tier 1 · Flip targets

CO-08 PA-07 AZ-06 CA-22 TX-15 NE-02

Protect

FL-09 NM-02 TX-34

Additional investment

AZ-01 CA-48 FL-27 NJ-07 NY-17 PA-08 PA-10 TX-35

NJ-07

StateNew Jersey

North-central New Jersey suburbs and farm towns, including Bedminster.

Republican

Tom Kean Jr.

Incumbent · first elected 2022, unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary

Background

A Westfield resident and son of former Gov. Thomas Kean who served two decades in the New Jersey Legislature, including 14 years as Senate minority leader. He won this seat in 2022 by defeating Rep. Tom Malinowski and serves on the House Energy and Commerce Committee. He campaigns on lowering the cost of living, protecting health care and bipartisan problem-solving.

Endorsements

President Donald Trump

Democrat

Rebecca Bennett

Challenger · won the four-way June 2 Democratic primary

Background

A former Navy helicopter pilot and aircraft commander who served more than a decade on active duty and remains an officer in the Air National Guard. She later worked as a business leader in health care and is a mother of two. She campaigns on health care, lower costs and jobs.

Endorsements

Gov. Mikie Sherrill
Fmr. Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg
VoteVets
N.J. State Firefighters’ Mutual Benevolent Association
Hunterdon County Democrats

Sources: Candidate research current as of September 19, 2026; tomkean.com; rebeccabennettforcongress.com.

Tier 1 · Flip

AZ-06 · CA-22 · CO-08 · NE-02 · PA-07 · TX-15

Protect

FL-09 · NM-02 · TX-34

Additional investment

AZ-01 · CA-48 · FL-27 · NJ-07 · NY-17 · PA-08 · PA-10 · TX-35

U.S. Senate and state legislative races are incorporated where they overlap.

17 districts.10 states.Across the ballot.

Tier 1 · Flip targets

Candidate lookup

Tom Kean Jr.

Rebecca Bennett

17 districts.
10 states.
Across the ballot.