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The Battleground

17 districts.
10 states.
Across the ballot.

Coalition programs are live in every district on this map. In these districts, Latino citizens of voting age frequently outnumber the previous margin of victory many times over.

In Colorado's 8th, the 2024 race was decided by a few thousand votes in a district where roughly 31 percent of the citizen voting-age population is Latino. Modest improvements in registration, turnout and persuasion can change individual races, and potentially control of the House. The constraint is not demographics. It is investment and engagement.

Ten program states · Seventeen districts

Click a highlighted state to compare the candidates in its Tier 1 race.

Flag of Arizona

Arizona

AZ-06 · AZ-01

Flag of California

California

CA-22 · CA-48

Flag of Colorado

Colorado

CO-08

Flag of Florida

Florida

FL-09 · FL-27

Flag of Nebraska

Nebraska

NE-02

Flag of New Jersey

New Jersey

NJ-07

Flag of New Mexico

New Mexico

NM-02

Flag of New York

New York

NY-17

Flag of Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania

PA-07 · PA-08 · PA-10

Flag of Texas

Texas

TX-15 · TX-34 · TX-35

Tier 1 · Flip targets

Certified 2024 House results. Latino share of citizen voting-age population from UnidosUS analysis of U.S. Census data.

DistrictIncumbent2024 marginLatino CVAP CO-08Evans (R)2,449 (0.7 pts)31% PA-07Mackenzie (R)4,062 (1.0 pt)16% NE-02Bacon (R), retiring5,829 (1.8 pts)7% AZ-06Ciscomani (R)10,800 (2.5 pts)22% CA-22Valadao (R)11,339 (6.8 pts)65% TX-15De La Cruz (R)31,800 (14.2 pts)74%

Who's on your ballot

Candidate lookup

Pick a district or click a highlighted state on the map. Major-party nominees only; information current as of September 19, 2026.

Tier 1 · Flip targets

Protect

Additional investment

CO-08

StateColorado2024 marginR +0.7 — 2,449 votesLatino CVAP31% Latino

Gabe Evans unseated Yadira Caraveo in 2024 in the closest House race in Colorado history.

Republican

Gabe Evans

Incumbent · first elected 2024

Background

Army and Colorado Army National Guard Black Hawk pilot and company commander; Arvada police officer for over a decade; Colorado House District 48, 2023–2025.

Endorsements

  • Backed by the NRCC
VS

Democrat

Manny Rutinel

Challenger · Colorado state Representative

Background

State Representative from Commerce City and the son of a working-class single mother. Grew up on food stamps and Medicaid; the bank foreclosed on the family home during the Great Recession. Worked at McDonald’s through high school, started at a community college, then served as an economist for the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and as a first responder after Hurricane Maria in Puerto Rico. Won the June 30 primary over former state Rep. Shannon Bird by 28 points. Campaigns on lowering the cost of housing, gas, groceries and health care, and on limiting ICE enforcement in Colorado communities.

Endorsements

  • Latino Victory
  • DCCC “Red to Blue” program

Sources: Ballotpedia; Colorado Politics; Cook Political Report; FEC filings via PollingSource; mannyforcolorado.com.

Tier 1 · Flip

AZ-06 · CA-22 · CO-08 · NE-02 · PA-07 · TX-15

Protect

FL-09 · NM-02 · TX-34

Additional investment

AZ-01 · CA-48 · FL-27 · NJ-07 · NY-17 · PA-08 · PA-10 · TX-35

U.S. Senate and state legislative races are incorporated where they overlap.